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INNOBLOG

the insider's guide to innovation

Thursday, March 8th, 2007

Are the signals clear?

Josh Suskewicz

Clearwire, the potentially disruptive WiMax pioneer supported by Intel, Motorola, Bell Canada, and others, went public today to much fanfare and skepticism. It priced at the high end of its range, netting some $600 million, but finished the day 10% lower than where it started.

Investors are entranced by the massive transformational potential of its technology wireless broadband, essentially, that is more powerful and has greater range than wifi and therefore threatens to disrupt existing broadband and cellular technologies. But they are wary of its massive upfront costs, piling debt, technological adoption hurdles, and looming competition from the likes of Sprint.

In a 2004 article in Strategy and Innovation, Clayton Christensen and Scott Anthony applauded the company for taking an emergent, disruptive approach by rolling out its technology in small, underserved, rural markets where it would initially compete against nonconsumption rather than powerful incumbents. Two and a half years later, Clearwires promise continues to grow (as evidenced by the four billion dollar valuation the IPO fetched), but doubts and challenges are mounting as well.

This post is a thought starter what do you all think of Clearwires chances? What strategy should it pursue to optimize its chances of success? Does WiMax represent the next wave of disruption in telecomm? Will Clearwire win the space it has pioneered? Would love your thoughts on this one


Discussion

From: Ashwin Shashi
Posted: Thursday, March 8th, 2007 - 5:01 am EST

The company raised around a billion dollars last year and heavily backed by Motorola and Intel. And the fact that the 2 companies are also on the Sprint Wimax Bandwagon makes it very interesting.
A possible buyout candidate for Sprint?

The technology itself is definitely disruptive. Imagine recording a video at Yosemite National Park and updating to your blog straight from the digital camera which is wimax enabled. There are a lot of interesting use-cases for the technology.


From: Alexandre Martins
Posted: Thursday, March 15th, 2007 - 2:57 am EDT

I believe in less developed countries, such as some in Africa, where infrastructure is still not everywhere, Wimax has a huge opportunity since it will allow the deployment of technology cheaply than any other technology. the problem is that it will have to live with these countries pace of growth. But afterwards it will "rule" that market for good, as other technologies will have trouble entering the market.

As for more developed countries, I think it won't be that easy The window of opportunity is rapidly closing as 3G-3,5G technologies are being deployed pushed by mobile operators and vendors. I understand that Intel can give a push for Wimax embedding in laptop and other devices but so will the 3G players. Here, Wimax will be the infrastructure for the rural isolated areas or used as backhaul for Wifi networks for instance...



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